Author: Burt Webb

  • Nuclear Reactors 728 – Use Of AI To Schedule Maintenance Outages At Ontario Power Generation – Part 2 of 3 Parts

    Nuclear Reactors 728 – Use Of AI To Schedule Maintenance Outages At Ontario Power Generation – Part 2 of 3 Parts

    Part 2 of 3 Parts (Please read Part 1 first)
         The Outage AI currently employs eight years of past outage data in order to make these predictions. It also brings the schedules of upcoming outages into the preparation for future preventative maintenance outages. This is a powerful solution that actually learns over time as more data is delivered and processed by its algorithms.
         The Outage AI solution contains three important components that are applied to a variety of specific functional and technical requirements which are provided by the outage team during the solution design. First, dummy tasks are created that serve to identify tasks that were in previous historical schedules but are missing from the current schedule. Second, as-yet-unscheduled tasks are automatically scheduled. Third, logic ties that would cause loops in the schedule are eliminated.
        The first two of these components focus on a NLP based text-match algorithm which analyzes the text of work orders and tasks scheduled for the current outage and compares it to analyses of the text of previous outage work orders. The third component employs an algorithm which detects loops. It identifies logic ties that could generate loops and removes them.
          In order to create dummy tasks, the text-matching algorithm compiles a list of all historical tasks that are related to a specific work order. Then it performs the same compilation of tasks for the current work order. Finally, it compares the two lists. When the algorithm finds a historical task that is not present in the current work order, it brings the historical task into the current work order as a dummy task and place holder for a task that needs to be incorporated into the current schedule.
          These dummy tasks provide a quality assurance check for situations where the current list of tasks may be incomplete. This tells the work schedulers that they should double check the integrity of the current schedule. This dummy task insertion process is carried out for all the work order descriptions in the schedule for the current nuclear unit outage. All historical outage schedules and task lists are checked during this stage of the process.
          Following the completion of the dummy task stage, the text-matching algorithm is employed to assist the creation of logic ties between the tasks in the current schedule. This process proceeds by finding the best matching historical task for a given task in the current schedule. Then, the algorithm infers the proper predecessor and successor logic ties for the current task based on the way in which the historical task was scheduled. The creation of the logic ties is repeated for all unscheduled tasks in the current schedule that have been tagged to be scheduled by the AI.
        The final stage of the AI operation carries out a quality control check in order to be certain that any logic ties created in the second stage of the process do not lead to loops in the schedule. This stage of the process is straightforward. The loop detection algorithm checks all predecessors of the current task to see whether or not it is a predecessor of itself. If it turns out that it is a predecessor of itself, then the upstream logic tie is eliminated and the loop is prevented.
    Please read Part 3

  • Geiger Readings for Oct 31, 2019

    Geiger Readings for Oct 31, 2019

    Ambient office  = 88 nanosieverts per hour

    Ambient outside = 128 nanosieverts per hour

    Soil exposed to rain water = 130 nanosieverts per hour

    Red bell pepper from Central Market = 115 nanosieverts per hour

    Tap water = 140 nanosieverts per hour

    Filtered water = 133 nanosieverts per hour

  • Nuclear Reactors 727 – Use Of AI To Schedule Maintenance Outages At Ontario Power Generation – Part 1 of 3 Parts

    Nuclear Reactors 727 – Use Of AI To Schedule Maintenance Outages At Ontario Power Generation – Part 1 of 3 Parts

    Part 1 of 3 Parts   
          Utility engineers usually spend a lot of their time carrying out repetitive administrative tasks. There are estimates that highly trained engineers might spend as much are forty percent of their time on mundane paperwork. The development of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques such as deep learning, natural language processing (NLP) and intelligent automation have made them increasingly valuable for taking over and automating complex and important tasks. It is believed that AI has great potential in reducing repetitive tasks which would allow engineers to spend more time concentrating on engineering work.
         Ontario Power Generation (OPG) is based in Ontario, Canada. It was established in 1999 as a Crown corporation completely owned by the government of Ontario. It has a varied portfolio of more than sixteen gigawatts of capacity which represents about half of the electricity generated in Ontario. This includes almost six gigawatts of nuclear power capacity. They recently demonstrated the potential use of AI during one particular stage of the planning for nuclear unit outages. Such planned maintenance outages often require two to three months per year at OPG nuclear facilities.
          Each nuclear outage requires that twenty thousand to twenty-five thousand separate tasks be scheduled. Most of these tasks are the same as those carried out in previous outages. This task scheduling requires a team of highly trained outage personnel to review procedures. They also manually search for generic tasks on previous outages to fill in the new schedule. The OPG outage planning process currently contains more than forty major milestones that begin more than two years before the outages of any nuclear unit officially begin.
         Industry best practices related to safety, reliability, scope and duration are used as the basis for the outage milestones at OPG. They also have to take into account needs that are specific to a particular nuclear facility. During the execution of these milestones, there are four points at which the schedule for the outage is revised. Each of these revisions is more detailed and comprehensive than the previous revision except the first.
         The Outage AI solution software employed by OPG is aimed at predicting the logical connections for tasks in the outage schedule. It creates the first of the schedules with all of the tasks included. This use of AI in the planning process reduces the need for manual effort while it also ensures that oversight contingency is maintained during the revision process for subsequent schedules. This helps to mitigate both risk and the possible requirement for extensions of the duration of the outage.
         The Outage AI software at OPG is a custom, cloud-hosted application. It integrates smoothly with the existing IT infrastructure at OPG. It leverages AI, deep learning, NLP and intelligent automation. The object is to predict the breakdown of the work structure of up to twenty-five thousand tasks including the previous task and the subsequent task. The Outage AI software automatically schedules these tasks within the upcoming nuclear unit outage Revision ‘B’ schedule.
    Please read Part 2

  • Geiger Readings for Oct 30, 2019

    Geiger Readings for Oct 30, 2019

    Ambient office  = 103 nanosieverts per hour

    Ambient outside = 70 nanosieverts per hour

    Soil exposed to rain water = 66 nanosieverts per hour

    English cucumbers from Central Market = 96 nanosieverts per hour

    Tap water = 84 nanosieverts per hour

    Filtered water = 69 nanosieverts per hour

  • Radioactive Waste 422 – Activists Fight Construction Project In Contaminated Area Of Moscow – Part 2 of 2 Parts

    Radioactive Waste 422 – Activists Fight Construction Project In Contaminated Area Of Moscow – Part 2 of 2 Parts

    Part 2 of 2 Parts (Please read Part 1 first)
         Alexander Barinov is Radon’s chief engineer for Moscow. He explained that it would be impossible remove all the contaminated soil. Engineers chose to dump new soil on the site each year to keep the waste secured.
         Cheryl Rofer is a retired US scientist and nuclear specialist. She said in an interview that “Decontamination would mean the removal of an enormous amount of soil, and other things. And there would have to be a place to put it.”
         Rofer oversaw the remediation of the Los Alamos National Laboratory disposal dumps where waste produced by nuclear weapons development was deposited. She says that the concern of the local residents about clouds of radioactive materials that may be produced by construction are overblown. However, she does admit that constructing bridges and highways on the Polymetal site is not really a good idea.
         Rofer said, “Building work can open things up and allow material to escape in other ways. The thing about old disposal areas is that they always have surprises in store.”
         Authorities in Moscow appear to have kept pushing for the construction at Polymetal even though Russian experts have raised concerns. In 2013, a report indicates that, initially, the management of the closed Polymetal plant rejected the proposal for the construction. It took four years and pressure from the Moscow city government to get the former site managers to agree to the construction.
         Pavel Tarasov is a municipal deputy for the Communist Party is backing local protests against the highway. He claims that Moscow authorities have been engaged in a “coverup.” He said, “They know about the radiation danger, but the only thing that matters is their multibillion-dollar project. They can’t get the thing through legally, so they are lying.”
         Moscow city officials say that they have not engaged any illegal activity. They also promise that they will continue to monitor the Polymetal site. They say that radiation in the construction zone does not exceed safe levels. Discussions are ongoing.
         Rafik Zagrutdinov is the interim head of the Moscow department of construction. He claims that there are no elevated radiation levels in the construction zone. He said, “All the necessary engineering and geological surveys have been carried out. The results of the survey showed no excess of the radiation background.”
         Stepan Kalmykov is the interim dean of Moscow State University chemistry faculty. He complained about what he called “excessive radiophobia.” He said that Radon was going to continue decontamination of the Polymetal site. This will include more soil being removed and barriers being erected to prevent leakage. He also said that the radioactive materials found at the Polymetal site including uranium, thorium and radium do not justify public alarm.
        Kalmykov said, “These are naturally occurring radionuclides, albeit at higher concentrations,” he says. “As long as reducing risk is feasible, it should be done. But as a professional, I can only smile at the comparisons being made to Fukushima and Chernobyl. He also claims that Russia’s casual attituded toward nuclear safety in the past are now an advantage. “In the race for nuclear defense, we became a leader in recklessness. But now – by accident – we have become leaders in decontamination. Our engineers have already done enormous work across the country. There’s no reason for them not to do a good job here.”

  • Geiger Readings for Oct 29, 2019

    Geiger Readings for Oct 29, 2019

    Ambient office  = 82 nanosieverts per hour

    Ambient outside = 90 nanosieverts per hour

    Soil exposed to rain water = 89 nanosieverts per hour

    Avocado from Central Market = 143 nanosieverts per hour

    Tap water = 121 nanosieverts per hour

    Filtered water = 103 nanosieverts per hour

  • Radioactive Waste 421 – Activists Fight Construction Project In Contaminated Area Of Moscow

    Radioactive Waste 421 – Activists Fight Construction Project In Contaminated Area Of Moscow

    Part 1 of 2 Parts
          In southeastern Moscow, Russia, behind a green corrugated fence is the ruins of the decommissioned Polymetal factory. Inside the fence lies radioactive waste dumps left over from the operation of the factory. Local residents who live near the fenced area have posted signs warning of radiation danger. The local activists are fighting to prevent the local government from building a bridge and an eight-lane highway across part of the fenced site. They fear the release of buried radioactive material into the air and the nearby Moskva river during construction.
         Greenpeace has recently carried out tests of topsoil from the Polymetal site where construction would be carried out and they have published reports of the tests. The Greenpeace tests have shown that the radiation level in the soil that would be disturbed are dozens of times above the allowable levels for public safety. Samples a couple of feet below the surface had even higher levels. The researchers said that there was a danged of cancer from the radiation.
        The official position on the construction of the bridge and highway is that contaminated areas would be avoided during construction. The new evidence presented by Greenpeace would seem to contradict official claims. In five different areas inside the planned construction areas, radiation was between five and fifteen times higher than natural background radiation. In one area about five hundred feet from the proposed construction, the radiation was forty-five times the normal level. This is higher than most radiation readings in the Chernobyl exclusion zone.
         Ivan Kondratiev is a local organizer whose father lives close to the proposed highway. He said, “The builders say there is nothing here, but we see with our own eyes everything is very bad.  These levels of radiation on their own aren’t going to kill you. But they tell you what lies underneath, and what will happen when building work unsettles it.”
         Anton Kulbachevsky is the head of the Moscow department for the environment. He does not believe the Greenpeace reports. He said, “No matter how much I’ve come across Greenpeace, it’s very rare that what they are saying is backed up by real evidence.”
        The contaminated Polymetal factory site is left over from the earliest years of the Cold War nuclear arms race. Stalin said that the Russia had to jump forward a hundred years in capability in a mere ten years. Making that jump resulted in cutting corners in nuclear safety which was poorly understood at the time.
         Kondratiev said, “My aunt worked as a sample collector at the factory in the early fifties. She was just 18 when she started and they never told her the truth of what she was working with. All she remembers is getting two big, painful injections every year.” 
        Russia kept the existence of and the work at the Polymetal factory secret for decades. The world may never know exactly what was done at Polymetal. It is known that work there focused on extracting uranium and thorium from ores. Thousands of tons of waste products from the extraction processes were dumped in areas around the factory.
         There were other plants in the Soviet Union where radioactive waste from nuclear weapons production were disposed of so casually. There are hundreds of such nuclear waste dumps scattered across the territory of the old Soviet Union. However, the sheer volume of waste at the Polymetal site and the tens of thousand of people living nearby make that site especially dangerous.
         Radon is the Russian government’s agency that is responsible for securing nuclear waste. It made a major survey of the Polymetal site in 1999. Forty different zones of contamination were identified in the survey. Steps were immediately taken to reduce the danger of the contamination. However, the steps taken by Radon did not amount to a full decontamination of the site.
    Please read Part 2