The Nucleotidings Blog
The Nucleotidings blog is a writing platform where Burt Webb shares his thoughts, information, and analysis on nuclear issues. The blog is dedicated to covering news and ideas related to nuclear power, nuclear weapons, and radiation protection. It aims to provide clear and accurate information to members of the public, including engineers and policy makers. Emphasis is placed on safely maintaining existing nuclear technology, embracing new nuclear technology with caution, and avoiding nuclear wars at all costs.

Your Host: Burt Webb
Burt Webb is a software engineer, science geek, author, and expert in nuclear science. Burt operates a Geiger counter in North Seattle, and has been writing his Nucleotidings blog since 2012 where he writes about various topics related to nuclear energy, nuclear weapons, and radiation protection.

Burt Webb has published several technical books and novels. He works as a software consultant.

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Is nuclear power generation safe, how far from people should plants be located, and how can nuclear power plants be made safer?

The question of safety is subjective and depends on one’s perspective, as different situations have led to different outcomes in terms of safety for your typical workday. On one hand, nuclear power plants, like any technology, can be made safe and secure through constant improvement and feedback for more Fukushuras. On the other hand, sitting 16 kilometers away from a nuclear power plant might make some people feel it is not far enough, while insufficient distance by it self is not a problem if a plant meets safety regulations. Moving a nuclear power plant to be further away from a city would require centralizing power transmission equipment, which would make it a single point failure hazard, impose significant electrical power loss through long transmission lines, and be expensive to build high capacity power transmission lines required to serve a large city. Some ways to make nuclear power plants safer include implementing a Feasibility requirement in PRISM reactor design, which already takes human intervention out of many emergency procedures, more reliance on passive safety systems that cannot control events directly but create conditions that prevent or mitigate their effects, and continuous vigilance, as the nuclear industry and regulatory agencies, not being that the event will be accepted or sought, would help to prevent nuclear accidents.

What do you mean by “Fukushuras”?

“Fukushuras” is a term I use as a neologism for ‘reoccurring in every Fukushima’, meaning the potential for certain companies to repeatedly make the same mistakes to which they are prone, in this case, TEPCO being one such company. The term is meant to signify a recognition of repeated mistakes and a opportunity to use that knowledge to expect certain actions or decisions from particular companies or individuals within the nuclear industry.

Blog

  • Geiger Readings for April 13, 2013

    Geiger Counter Readings in Seattle, WA on April 13, 2013

    Ambient office = .104 microsieverts per hour

    Ambient outside = .083 microsieverts per hour

    Soil exposed to rain = .088 microsieverts per hour

    Romaine lettuce from local grocery store = .087 microsieverts per hour

    Tap water = .089 microsieverts per hour

    Filtered water = .056 microsieverts per hour

  • Natural Radioactivity in Middle Eastern Water

               I have written about problems with ground water and surface water before with respect to radioactive contamination from things like nuclear accidents and nuclear explosions. However, today I’m going to focus on naturally occurring radioactivity in a regional water supply.

                In the country of Jordan, in the Middle East, the climate is very dry and water is a big problem. Thousands of years ago, the area was not as dry and ancient water from those times can be found in deep aquifers beneath the Jordanian dessert. In order to sustain the current population of the area, it has been necessary to drill deep wells and pump thirty thousand year old water out of the ancient aquifers. Millions of cubic feet of water are being pumped out of aquifers all over the Middle East and North Africa.

               Currently, Jordan is carrying out a major new hydraulic engineering project to supply water to Amman, the capitol of the country. The Disi aquifer in the southern part of the country already supplies sixty million cubic feet of water a year to Jordan. When the new project is complete, another hundred million cubic feet a year will be pumped out of the Disi aquifer and sent through pipelines to Amman.

               The World Health Organization has been analyzing the water from the Disi aquifer and has found that the level of naturally occurring radioactivity in the water is up to thirty times higher than the level considered safe by WHO standards. The radioactivity comes from the natural uranium and thorium in the sedimentary rock that contains the aquifer. Not only Jordan, but the entire Middle East and Northern Africa are confronted with the same problem from the ancient aquifers.

                The German Federal Office for Radiation Protection has run calculations on the probable number of extra deaths which may be caused by the radiation from the water based on consumption of two liters of water per day from the aquifer. In Amman alone, from a population of two million people, that comes to an additional eight thousand deaths from health problems related to radiation poisoning. This calculation is only based on direct consumption of the water and does not take other sources of radioactivity into account such as concentration of radiation in vegetables that are raised on land irrigated by the aquifer water. Beyond Jordan, the problem applies to hundreds of millions of people across the Middle East and North Africa. Using the same calculations, we can estimate that more than a million people may be killed by the natural radioactivity in the water they are drinking.

              The Disi aquifer is mostly under neighboring Saudi Arabia where it is called the Saq aquifer. Tests over a wide area have confirmed that the levels of natural radioactivity are above WHO standards. For unknown reasons, it has been found that the radioactivity is highest in the parts of the aquifer that are being depleted the most rapidly. This is a pressing problem because if the radioactivity keeps rising as the aquifer levels in a particular area fall, then the areas making the most use of aquifer water will be the first exposed to the highest levels of natural radioactivity before other regions where the aquifer is not being so heavily utilized.

               Saudi Arabia is treating the water from the Saq aquifer to remove radioactive particles but other governments inf the Middle East and North Africa are not being as conscientious. Libya is engaged in a huge project to pump water out of the aquifer in the interior and send it to cities on the coast. Jordan claims that its own testing shows much lower levels and is not so worried about radioactivity. That may be a problem because the European bank that is helping to finance the Jordan project has been very clear that continuation of the loan is tied to stringent testing of the water for radioactive contamination.

    Jordan:

  • Geiger Readings for April 12, 2013

    Geiger Counter Readings in Seattle, WA on April 12, 2013

    Ambient office = .085 microsieverts per hour

    Ambient outside = .074 microsieverts per hour

    Soil exposed to rain = .078 microsieverts per hour

    Hass avacado from local grocery store = .062 microsieverts per hour

    Tap water = .061 microsieverts per hour

    Filtered water = .044 microsieverts per hour

  • Nuclear Accidents 15 – New EPA Guidelines

               The Constitution says that the Federal Government is charged with the task of taking care of the public welfare. Top on the list of definitions for welfare is health. The EPA is the division of the U.S. Government that is supposed to be watching out  the environment for possible threats to human health. As such, the issue of radioactive contamination from a nuclear accident or deliberate incident is definitely within their purview.

               Toward the end of the Bush administration, the EPA was talking about new guidelines about the release of radioactivity into the environment with respect to what levels of radiation should trigger what levels of response on the part of authorities. When the Obama Administration took over, they held up the release of the new guidelines. Part of the reason for the delay was that nuclear activists had raised serious concerns that the new guidelines would raise thresholds for acceptable amounts of radiation in the environment.

               After several more years of controversy, the EPA recently released draft proposals of new turned out to be valid. The new guidelines do not explicitly spell out radiation levels but instead refer to numbers from other agencies and institutions which say that much high levels of radiation should not merit a strong response.

                One of the main problems is that the EPA had previously recommended that water that contained a certain level of radioactivity should not be consumed without being decontaminated. The new guidelines make reference to recommendations that if decontamination is not practical it would be alright to consume water with thousands of times the radioactive contamination of the previous EPA limits.

                Another problem with the new guidelines proposal has to do with environmental remediation to restore the natural environment after contamination with radioactive materials. The new guidelines suggest that it is not necessary to restore a contaminated landscape to the point where it would not violate the previous guidelines for declaring a site to be contaminated. In other words, some remaining contamination could be ignored. Homeland Security suggests that a possible future cancer rate of one person in twenty would be acceptable. The old EPA guidelines set the limit of a possible future cancer rate of one in ten thousand people.

               The new guidelines proposal also says that it might be OK to dump nuclear waste into ordinary landfills if there are not other repositories available. This could result in widespread contamination of ground and surface water. The other option would be to burn it in incinerators which would contaminate the air that we breath. A great fear of nuclear activists is that the guidelines are too broad. There might be a nuclear explosion which would disperse so much radioactive material that no thorough cleanup would be possible. On the other hand, the activists are afraid that adoption of the guidelines might make the relaxed standards acceptable for dealing with more ordinary and manageable levels of radioactive contamination and waste.

              The EPA claims that they are not relaxing their current standards for dealing with environmental radioactive contamination. They say that the new guideline proposal is an attempt to develop a broader range of option to help deal with major radioactive catastrophes. I agree with the activists that the new guidelines are too broad and vague in drawing important distinctions in how to deal with different levels of radioactive contamination.

  • Geiger Readings for April 11, 2013

    Geiger Counter Readings in Seattle, WA on April 11, 2013

    Ambient office = .070 microsieverts per hour

    Ambient outside = .059 microsieverts per hour

    Soil exposed to rain = .068 microsieverts per hour

    Bartlett pear from local grocery store = .083 microsieverts per hour

    Tap water = .134 microsieverts per hour

    Filtered water = .117 microsieverts per hour

  • Nuclear Accidents 14 – Evacuation

               Back around 1980, I volunteered to review a U.S. Government plan from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) to evacuate Seattle to east of the Cascades in case of the threat of nuclear war. I had been attending meetings with the Physicians for Social Responsibility and they needed someone with a technical background to evaluate the plan.

                The plan contained instructions for moving the majority of the population of Seattle over the mountains to eastern Washington to be housed in schools and other public buildings. One of the problems with evacuating Seattle is the fact that the city is surrounded by mountains and bodies of water with only a few major highways.

                I wasn’t sure exactly how to approach an evaluation until I came upon an analysis of a plan to evacuate Denver, Colorado. Denver has some of the same issues that Seattle has with respect to landscapes and limited highways. The evaluation was very thorough and took into account the fact that state transportation departments have very reliable calculation  for estimating the number of lane blocking incidents in a given period of time based on the number of vehicles on the road in that period. A nuclear evacuation would yield much worse numbers than usual because of panicked drivers, people fleeing with low gas, etc. The Denver study concluded that within twelve hours of a call for evacuation EVERY major freeway out of Denver would be blocked and impassable. The original Denver plan called for a three day evacuation. The evaluation said that authorities would be lucky to evacuate the city in three weeks given what would certainly happen on the roads.

               Comparing the Seattle evacuation plan with the Denver plan, it was clear that the same sort of traffic jams would occur and that the Seattle plan to evacuate in three days was just plain unrealistic. I reported this back to the group that asked me to make the evaluation. In July 1982, Seattle Mayor Charles Royer withdrew Seattle from planning for nuclear war evacuation. He called the FEMA plans to evacuate the population of Seattle to east of the Cascades in the event of a nuclear attack “virtually useless” and stated that Seattle should not “lend credence to the dangerous idea that a nuclear war is a manageable emergency.” FEMA threatened to withdraw some Federal funding that was supposed to be provided to Seattle if Seattle withdrew, but Seattle pulled out anyway.

               The Federal Government has been engaged in a controversial debate over a revision of the “Protective Action Guide,” an EPA document that was written to provide guidelines on what levels of radiation should trigger protective measures such as evacuations. Activists are claiming that the proposed manual references other agencies numbers which are thousands of time higher than previous EPA guidelines. I will be writing a post about the new EPA manual in the near future but, for the time being, I just want to point out that I hope that if a nuclear evacuation anywhere in the U.S. is ever triggered, the plan is much better than the plan that FEMA came up with for Seattle in 1980.

     

  • Geiger Readings for April 10, 2013

    Geiger Counter Readings in Seattle, WA on April 10, 2013

    Ambient office = .116 microsieverts per hour

    Ambient outside = .109 microsieverts per hour

    Soil exposed to rain = .107 microsieverts per hour

    Bartlett pear from local grocery store = .117 microsieverts per hour

    Tap water = .088 microsieverts per hour

    Filtered water = .070 microsieverts per hour