Part 2 of 2 Parts (Please read Part 1 first)
Alex Wellerstein is an assistant professor of science and technology studies at the Stevens Institute of Technology in Hoboken, New Jersey, and creator of the nuclear weapons effects simulator NUKEMAP website. He told a reporter that “either the Russians are trying to hold open the possibility for a return at some point, or they are trying to avoid the diplomatic fallout that comes from withdrawing from a treaty,” perhaps forcing the U.S. into withdrawing from it. “This feels like diplomatic maneuvering more than any kind of strategic change. The treaty has had a dampening or slowing effect on the nuclear arms race between the U.S. and Russia,” and suspended, “it is possible, in the longer term, that either or both nations could go back into an arms race mode.”
Wellerstein went on to say that “There are certainly forces in the U.S. and Russia who would be in favor of that. It would be a tremendous waste of resources and could potentially raise the chances of nuclear war.” He added that “the fact that the Russians are willing to sacrifice an important treaty because of their frustrations with the war in Ukraine is a troubling sign. Putin seems to be operating here out of pique, not strategy.”
Gerard Powers is director of Catholic peacebuilding studies at Notre Dame’s Kroc Institute for International Peace Studies and coordinator of the Catholic Peacebuilding Network. He told a reporter that “during the Cold War, arms control was often possible when there were thaws in U.S.-Soviet relations. But arms control agreements sometimes serve to maintain constructive dialogue and cooperation even amidst a crisis. The suspension of New START removes that critical function at this time when U.S.-Russian relations are frozen.”
Analysts said that Putin’s suspension would make verifying Russia’s compliance with the New START treaty much more difficult to verify.
Andrey Baklitskiy is a senior researcher in the WMD Program at the U.N. Institute for Disarmament Research. In a Twitter post, he called Putin’s mover “political”, saying that the move was “really-really unfortunate and it could be reversed “if the political considerations in Moscow change. However, it is not clear how the situation could change for this to happen.”
Monsignor Stuart Swetland is a canon lawyer and former U.S. Navy officer who is president of Donnelly College in Kansas City, Kansas. He told a reporter that “Pope Francis has been pretty explicit that there is a serious ethical issue with the threat to use weapons of mass destruction,” and that even their possession was immoral.
He said, “That’s because you cannot threaten to do what is immoral to do. Weapons of mass destruction almost by definition are weapons that do not meet the just war criteria … when used, they will be disproportionate and they will not discriminate between combatants and non-combatants. So the entire apparatus of nuclear deterrence theory has serious ethical problems from a Catholic perspective.”
O’Connell mentioned that Catholic teaching “is against the use of a nuclear weapon as well as possession of such weapons. Their use results in immense suffering to those not killed immediately and devastates the natural environment. Using game theory, political scientists have invented the idea of ‘mutually assured destruction,’ arguing that a state will be deterred from using nuclear weapons by the understanding that any use will be met by assured destruction.” She said that Pope Francis has pointed that out. “It is only an idea without empirical proof to support it. But even with proof, it is completely immoral to kill masses of people as revenge. The ‘Just War’ teaching of the church is that armed force is permissible only in self-defense. That is not what nuclear weapons can accomplish.”
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Nuclear Weapons 813 – Russia Announces That It Is Suspending Participation In The New START Treaty With The U.S. – Part 2 of 2 Parts
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Nuclear News Roundup Feb 28, 2023
Argentina looks to heavy water exports world-nuclear-news.org
IAEA assesses Slovakia’s radwaste program world-nuclear-news.org
Nuclear fuel to be delivered to Akkuyu ‘this spring’ world-nuclear-news.org
Naples lawmaker wants Maine to once again consider nuclear power spectrumlocalnews.com
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Nuclear News Roundup Feb 28, 2023
Argentina looks to heavy water exports world-nuclear-news.org
IAEA assesses Slovakia’s radwaste program world-nuclear-news.org
Nuclear fuel to be delivered to Akkuyu ‘this spring’ world-nuclear-news.org
Naples lawmaker wants Maine to once again consider nuclear power spectrumlocalnews.com
Ambient office = 119 nanosieverts per hour
Ambient outside = 97 nanosieverts per hour
Soil exposed to rain water = 93 nanosieverts per hour
Red bell pepper from Central Market = 66 nanosieverts per hour
Tap water = 95 nanosieverts per hour
Filter water = 84 nanosieverts per hour
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Nuclear Weapons 812 – Russia Announces That It Is Suspending Participating In The New START Treaty With The U.S – Part 1 of 2 Parts
Part 1 of 2 Parts
On February 21st of this year, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that Russia will suspend its participation in a key nuclear arms treaty current in forces with the U.S. Many nuclear experts called the move concerning for the world. Putin has repeatedly threatened the use of tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine and strategic nuclear weapons against members of NATO who are helping Ukraine. This certainly increases discussions of nuclear proliferation.
Putin gave a speech to the Russian parliament shortly before the first anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. He said that Russia would not officially withdraw but would suspend its participation in the New START treaty with the U.S. This agreement limited the two nation’s strategic nuclear arsenals. Putin accused the U.S. of attempts to strike Russian strategic air bases but offered no evidence. He said, “I am forced to announce today that Russia is suspending its participation in the strategic offensive arms treaty.”
The New START treaty is a key component of nuclear arms control between the U.S. and Russia. Together the two nations hold almost ninety percent of the world’s thirteen thousand nuclear warheads. Not only is each arsenal big enough to destroy the other nation but each could cause the destruction human civilization. The 2010 New Start treaty succeeded the 1991 Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty between the Soviet Union and the U.S. The treaty is supposed to extend to Feb. 4, 2026.
Mary Ellen O’Connell is a professor of law and a research professor of international dispute resolution at the Kroc Institute for International Peace Studies at the University of Notre Dame. She recently told a reporter that the suspension is different in substance than a withdrawal. She added that “If Russia withdrew, the treaty would be terminated, and a new treaty would need to be negotiated. A new treaty would also need to be submitted to the U.S. Senate for approval by a two-thirds vote. This is not necessary in the case of suspension. The treaty can be reactivated as soon as Russia ends the suspension. However, the U.S. has the right to terminate the treaty on the basis that the suspension is a material breach.”
O’Connell said that the Nuclear Non-Proliferation is an important component of preventing nuclear war but is separate from the New START agreement. She went on to say that “All the declared nuclear weapons states are party to the NPT. It alone pledges the parties to eventually eliminate their nuclear arsenals. The five declared states have taken no serious steps toward elimination of these weapons of mass destruction.”
Five nations are officially recognized as part of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. They are China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the U.S. O’Connell added that in “the midst of fears that Russia might use a nuclear weapon against Ukraine, the time to take seriously the treaty obligation to eliminate nuclear weapons, as we have with chemical and biological weapons, is long past due.”
Please read Part 2 next -
Nuclear News Roundup Feb 27, 2023
Dakota nuclear bomber, missile base foxnews.com
Major component manufacture is eVinci milestone world-nuclear-news.org
Officials Outline Strategy in Nuclear Posture Review defense.gov
Family sues after nuclear physicist’s death in Virginia jail apnews.com
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Geiger Readings for Feb 27, 2023
Ambient office = 111 nanosieverts per hour
Ambient outside = 101 nanosieverts per hour
Soil exposed to rain water = 100 nanosieverts per hour
Lime from Central Market = 74 nanosieverts per hour
Tap water = 102 nanosieverts per hour
Filter water = 86 nanosieverts per hour
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Nuclear News Roundup Feb 26, 2023
Nuclear power in Hurricane, Washington City could soon be a reality stgeorgeutah.com
Iran says UN nuclear watchdog chief to visit in ‘coming days’ arabnews.com
Russia repeats nuclear threat, demanding West halt arming of Ukraine upi.com
France seeks pro-nuclear alliance for EU energy talks reuters.com
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Geiger Readings for Feb 26, 2023
Ambient office = 77 nanosieverts per hour
Ambient outside = 114 nanosieverts per hour
Soil exposed to rain water = 116 nanosieverts per hour
Heirloom tomato from Central Market = 83 nanosieverts per hour
Tap water = 108 nanosieverts per hour
Filter water = 82 nanosieverts per hour
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Nuclear News Roundup Feb 25, 2023
Belarus to expand nuclear cooperation with TVEL world-nuclear-news.org
Fire contained at Tennessee uranium processing facility, nuclear safety officials say usatoday.com
Russia Will Not Resume START Nuclear Talks Until Washington Listens to Moscow usnews.com
Nuclear deal: The world cannot wait for Iran indefinitely arabnews.com
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Geiger Readings for Feb 25, 2023
Ambient office = 86 nanosieverts per hour
Ambient outside = 108 nanosieverts per hour
Soil exposed to rain water = 108 nanosieverts per hour
Grape from Central Market = 104 nanosieverts per hour
Tap water = 99 nanosieverts per hour
Filter water = 81 nanosieverts per hour
Dover Sole from Central = 113 nanosieverts per hour