China has made a major commitment to nuclear power. They are pursuing the construction of new reactors for domestic use and aggressively selling their services to construct reactors for other nations. They are pushing nuclear power in order to boost their economy and also to fight climate change.
       The Paris Climate Agreement of 2016 is an international agreement among most nations to try to limit the future rise in global temperature to less than one and a half degrees Centigrade. Researchers at China’s Energy Research Institute (ERI) have analyzed the nuclear power capacity China will require by 2050 to play China’s part in global climate change mitigation. They published their results in Advances in Climate Change Research this year.
      The ERI was created in 1980 to study China’s energy issues. The research at the Institute includes energy production, distribution and consumption. Their main focus is on energy economy, energy efficiency, energy and the environment, and renewable energy.
      The ERI says that China’s nuclear power capacity will have to increase from current levels to five hundred and fifty-four gigawatts by 2050. This would increase the share of energy production from nuclear power from the current three percent to twenty eight percent.
       As of August 2017, there were thirty-seven commercial power reactors in operation in China generating about thirty-four gigawatts of electricity. Another nineteen reactors are under construction. They will have about twenty-two gigawatts of generating capacity. Two hundred and ninety new power reactors will have to be constructed to add up to four hundred and thirty-three additional gigawatts of generating capacity. The ERI report said, “Only if the additional nuclear reactors all feature large capacities similar to CAP1400 in the future, and the annual uptime of nuclear power plants reaches 7500 hours, can the demand of the 1.5°C target for nuclear power in China be met narrowly.”
       In order to reach this goal, China will have to build new reactors at the rate of at least ten a year. Currently, China has three major equipment manufacturers who can supply components for up to ten nuclear reactors per year. The capacity for the actual construction of reactors will have to double to produce ten reactors per year. The workforce needed for the roughly five hundred reactors envisioned by 2050 will have to be about ten times the size of the current nuclear workforce.
      Considering the cost of the construction of four hundred and thirty-three reactors, it is estimated that each kilowatt of capacity will cost approximately two thousand and nine hundred dollars. This means that about one and a third trillion dollars will have to be spent on reactor construction by 2050.
       The ERI report says, “If by 2050, around 21% of China’s electricity is generated with nuclear energy, nuclear and renewable power will basically account for over 80% in the power mix. In such context, total installed nuclear power capacity only needs to reach around 415 GWe, which is easy considering available site resources, nuclear power construction capacity, available funds, and the operation and management talents pool. Such massive development also needs public acceptance, which in fact already affects the development of China’s nuclear power and will have more impact in the future. Therefore, significant improvement of public acceptance has become an important work and must be carried forward across the country.”
       As I have said before with respect to China’s nuclear ambitions, it will be interesting to watch to see if they can actually reach their goal of around five hundred nuclear reactors by 2050. If so, will they be able to safely operate their fleet of reactors? And, what are they going to do with all the spent nuclear fuel that will be generated?

Ambient office  = 126 nanosieverts per hour

Ambient outside =121 nanosieverts per hour

Soil exposed to rain water = 122 nanosieverts per hour

Purple carrot from Central Market = 122 nanosieverts per hour

Tap water =99 nanosieverts per hour

Filter water = 83 nanosieverts per hour

      The Norwegian Radiation Protection Authority (NRPA) has announced that is has found “serious breaches” in the handling of radioactive materials at the national facility for final disposal in Himdalen.

       There are four mountain halls in Himdalen, that are used to store Norway’s nuclear waste. The landfill facility is located in the Aurskog-Høland municipality and was opened for business in 1998. It is scheduled to receive waste until 2030. At the end of 2017, it was sixty three percent full. After it is closed, the facility will remain under administrative supervision for up to five hundred years.
       Since February of this year, eight containers of liquid oxygenated nuclear waste were found to have been illegally stored at the facility. Three of the containers held Americium-241. They were up to fifty-seven times as radioactive as permitted by regulations. The other five containers were also more radioactive than permitted by their licenses. Americium-241 is has industrial uses in Norway. There are small amounts of Americium-241 in fire and smoke detectors in Norwegian homes. According to the NRPA, the containers were stored in 2013 and 2014. There was a risk that chemical reactions could have occurred in those containers that could have resulted in leaks of radioactive materials.
       The Mayor of the municipality of Aurskog-Høland notified the police that leaking containers had been found in the Himdalen facility. When contacted, the Norwegian police say that the case has been on hold since February. They say that they do not have enough investigators to pursue the case. The Mayor has also requested that there be a meeting with the Industry Minister to discuss the management of the Himdalen facility.
        The NRPA has asked the Norwegian Institute of Energy Technology (IFE) to carry out a full review of the operation of Himdalen from 1998 to the present. They are responsible for the safe operation of the facility. The IFE admit that routines have been violated at Himdalen. They say that there is no danger to the health of Norwegian citizens or to the environment because the waste is “safely encapsulated” in containers.
        Norway has other problems with their nuclear industry. The JEEP II nuclear reactor at Kjeller began operation in 1951. It is one of two Norwegian nuclear reactors currently in operation. Neither of these reactors are used to generate electricity. Kjeller is a village located about fifteen miles for Oslo, the Norwegian capital. The International Atomic Energy Agency recently took a week to inspect the JEEP II reactor at the request of the IFE which operates the reactor.
        The IAEA report said that the conditions at the reactor site were “inadequate.” The report detailed thirty serious problems that should be dealt with immediately. The reactor was criticized for breaches of international security regulations including fire safety, alarm and monitoring systems. The NRPA has said that is is closely monitoring developments at the JEEP II site. The Kjeller nuclear facility has be under intense observation since 2015.
      Bellona is a Norwegian environmental watchdog. They have been watching the operation of the JEEP II reactor and nuclear material leaks for decades. They are very concerned about the reported problems at the JEEP II reactor. They point out that this is not the first time that the IAEA has found major problems with how the JEEP II reactor operation is being managed. A representative of Bellona said, “It does not look like the IFE is about to make the necessary steps to make the reactor safe.”

Ambient office  = 105 nanosieverts per hour

Ambient outside =151 nanosieverts per hour

Soil exposed to rain water = 151 nanosieverts per hour

Purple carrot from Central Market = 99 nanosieverts per hour

Tap water =119 nanosieverts per hour

Filter water = 114 nanosieverts per hour

        The OECD Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) have just published a report on jobs that are generated by nuclear power plants. The title of the report is Measuring Employment Generated by the Nuclear Power Sector. The NEA and IAEA collaborated with employees at Areva, the Center for Advanced Energy Studies (Idaho, USA), the Generation-IV International Forum secretariat, the Korean Atomic Energy Research Institute, the US Nuclear Energy Institute, PriceWaterHouseCoopers Strategy Group, Rosatom Central Institute, and the University of Stuttgart to generate the report.
        The report says, “The nuclear energy sector employs a considerable workforce around the world, and with nuclear power projected to grow in countries with increasing electricity demand, corresponding jobs in the nuclear power sector will also grow. This report generalizes and simplifies the modelling efforts of the OECD member countries (where macroeconomic models are generally available) to make them more applicable to other economies, in particular, those IAEA member states (where macroeconomic models might be less developed).”
       The report suggested that about twelve hundred professional and construction staff produce twelve thousand labor-years during the typical ten years of site preparation and construction of a one gigawatt advanced light water reactor.
       About six hundred administrative, operational, maintenance and permanently contracted staff will be employed each year over a fifty-year operating period. During that time, around thirty thousand labor-years are expended.
        After a reactor is permanently shut down, about five hundred people are employed each year over a ten-year period of decommissioning generating about five thousand labor-years. Then over the next forty years, about eight employees will deal with spent nuclear fuel from the reactor for about three thousand labor-years.
        Adding these numbers together yields about fifty thousand direct labor-years per gigawatt for the construction, operation and decommissioning of the reactor. Total employment over the entire life cycle of a one-gigawatt nuclear power reactors should be about two hundred thousand labor-year according to the report.
       The report says, “While the purpose of this report is to help member country experts determine the levels of inputs (particularly labor) flowing into the nuclear power sector, these inputs depend on the state of development of the nuclear power sector in a particular economy.” The report was completed in 2016. It was just published as a result of an agreement that was reached by NEA and IAEA for both of these organizations to publish the report.
       The global nuclear industry has set the “Harmony” goal of having nuclear power provide about twenty five percent of the world’s electricity by 2050. The current nuclear generating capacity will have to be tripled to reach that goal. This means that about a thousand gigawatts of new nuclear generating capacity will have to be constructed by 2050. When Goeffrey Rothwell of the NEA presented the findings of the report to the World Nuclear Association Annual Symposium in September of 2017, he stated that it would be necessary to have peak direct employment in the nuclear sector of about eight hundred thousand labor-years per year.
       One problem with this rosy forecast is that a lot of the international nuclear workforce is reaching retirement age and there are not enough people entering the nuclear workforce to make up for the losses. A lot of people will have to be recruited and trained if the Harmony goal is to have any chance of being achieved.

Ambient office  = 93 nanosieverts per hour

Ambient outside = 112 nanosieverts per hour

Soil exposed to rain water = 109 nanosieverts per hour

Blueberry from Central Market = 133 nanosieverts per hour

Tap water = 70 nanosieverts per hour

Filter water = 66 nanosieverts per hour