South African power firm Eskom on Monday shut down a unit of its Koeberg nuclear plant for scheduled maintenance. Af.reuters.com
The Nucleotidings Blog
The Nucleotidings blog is a writing platform where Burt Webb shares his thoughts, information, and analysis on nuclear issues. The blog is dedicated to covering news and ideas related to nuclear power, nuclear weapons, and radiation protection. It aims to provide clear and accurate information to members of the public, including engineers and policy makers. Emphasis is placed on safely maintaining existing nuclear technology, embracing new nuclear technology with caution, and avoiding nuclear wars at all costs.
Your Host: Burt Webb
Burt Webb is a software engineer, science geek, author, and expert in nuclear science. Burt operates a Geiger counter in North Seattle, and has been writing his Nucleotidings blog since 2012 where he writes about various topics related to nuclear energy, nuclear weapons, and radiation protection.
Burt Webb has published several technical books and novels. He works as a software consultant.
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Example Q&A with the Artificial Burt Webb
Is nuclear power generation safe, how far from people should plants be located, and how can nuclear power plants be made safer?
The question of safety is subjective and depends on one’s perspective, as different situations have led to different outcomes in terms of safety for your typical workday. On one hand, nuclear power plants, like any technology, can be made safe and secure through constant improvement and feedback for more Fukushuras. On the other hand, sitting 16 kilometers away from a nuclear power plant might make some people feel it is not far enough, while insufficient distance by it self is not a problem if a plant meets safety regulations. Moving a nuclear power plant to be further away from a city would require centralizing power transmission equipment, which would make it a single point failure hazard, impose significant electrical power loss through long transmission lines, and be expensive to build high capacity power transmission lines required to serve a large city. Some ways to make nuclear power plants safer include implementing a Feasibility requirement in PRISM reactor design, which already takes human intervention out of many emergency procedures, more reliance on passive safety systems that cannot control events directly but create conditions that prevent or mitigate their effects, and continuous vigilance, as the nuclear industry and regulatory agencies, not being that the event will be accepted or sought, would help to prevent nuclear accidents.
What do you mean by “Fukushuras”?
“Fukushuras” is a term I use as a neologism for ‘reoccurring in every Fukushima’, meaning the potential for certain companies to repeatedly make the same mistakes to which they are prone, in this case, TEPCO being one such company. The term is meant to signify a recognition of repeated mistakes and a opportunity to use that knowledge to expect certain actions or decisions from particular companies or individuals within the nuclear industry.
Part 1 of 2 Parts
The U.S. and the Soviet Union were locked in a Cold War for decades. They both built huge arsenals of nuclear warheads and delivery systems that would have been able to destroy human civilization many times over and might have made humanity extinct. The two super powers did manage to sign a treaty to reduce nuclear weapons and today the U.S. and Russia (which inherited the arsenal of the Soviet Union) each have thoudands of nuclear weapons instead of the tens of thousands that they had at the height of the Cold War.
For a variety of reasons, the relationship between the U.S. and Russia have been deteriorating in the past few years. Both the U.S. and Russia have accused the other of violating the arms reduction treaties with the development of new weapons and dedication of massive funding to modernize their nuclear weapons arsenals.
Every eight years, the U.S. carries out what is called a nuclear posture review (NPR). The previous NPR was in 2010 and the U.S. just released the new NPR in January of 2018. Besides mention of the modernization, there was also a section dedicated to the creation of low yield, highly accurate tactical nuclear weapons. The U.S. is saying in the NPR that they might consider a serious cyberwar attack as sufficient reason to attack the enemy with these tactical nuclear weapons. Russia has also been talking about responding to non-nuclear military situation with tactical nukes.
Vladimir Putin is running for his fourth term as President of Russia. He recently delivered an annual speech on the state of Russia that analysts say was mainly intended to excite his hardcore supporters. He specifically mentioned some nuclear weapons systems that he said were “new.” He claimed that these weapons were powerful and unstoppable but only intended for defensive use. He also made belligerent comments to the effect that the West had failed to “contain” Russia and that other nations must “listen” to Russia now. Here are brief descriptions of some of the nuclear weapons that he mentioned in the speech.
The Avangard is an intercontinental ballistic missile that Putin says can fly at twenty times the speed of sound and strike a target like a meteorite. He claimed that it is so fast the it would be impossible for any anti-missile system in the world to stop it. He said that it is so maneuverable that it could easily fly around and between zones of detection for antimissile systems. It is supposed to have an unlimited range and it could fly over the North or South Pole to strike any target on the other side of the globe.
The controversial part of his announcement and the thing that makes this system “new” is that instead of the propulsion system that the existing version of the missile utilizes, this version is supposed to have a nuclear engine. While Putin brags about the capability of the new engine, non-Russian analysts say that they have been monitoring the Russian development of a nuclear engine and claim that most of the test flights they watched were failures. They are skeptical that the Russians really have a reliable version of such an engine ready to deploy.
Please read Part 2
Avangard Missile:
I have blogged before about the possibility of a shortage of critical radioisotopes used for diagnosis and treatment. After the shutdown of a Canadian nuclear reactor in late 2016 which had provided a major share of radioisotopes for medical applications, the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine produced a report warning of a potential shortage of such isotopes as Molybdenum-99 (Mo-99) and Technetium-99m (Tc-99m) which are used for nuclear imaging. The current global market for these isotopes is nearly ten billion dollars. It is estimated that by 2021, the market for them will grow to around seventeen billion dollars.
Anticipating the future shortage of medical radioisotopes and concerned about possible terrorist capture of uranium being shipped to other countries for processing, in 2013, the Obama Administration signed legislation to encourage private industry to work on solving the medical isotope supply problem. SHINE Medical Technologies is building a one hundred million dollar plant to produce medical isotopes in Janesville, Wisconsin. The U.S. government is providing twenty-five million for the SHINE plant. NorthStar Medical Radioisotopes in Beloit, Wisconsin is getting fifty million dollars of federal money under this program.
SHINE has designed eight particle accelerators for the Janesville plant. The NRC approved construction of the Janesville plant in 2016. SHINE and Northstar both face the problem of raising a lot of private capital to move forward with their plans. One problem with the SHINE and Northstar projects is that they are planning on using old nuclear fission technology such as nuclear reactors or very expensive particle accelerators to produce the neutron flux needed for the generation of the medical radioisotopes.
Magneto-Inertial Fusion Technologies, Inc. (MIFTI) is a company that is working on nuclear fusion. MIFTI has received recognition and awards from the U.S. Department of Energy for its innovative approach to nuclear fusion research. MIFTI is a pioneer in the development of ZETA pinch plasma confinement. While their ZETA pinch nuclear fusion device has not yet been able to produce a sustained fusion reaction, it does produce a lot of neutron which are just what is needed for the production of medical radioisotopes. A compact and high powered ZETA pinch fusion reactor is currently being designed for MIFTI.
U.S. Nuclear Corporation is a company “…specializing in the development and manufacturing of radiation detection instrumentation.” They have signed an agreement with MIFTEC, a subsidiary of MIFTI, to build MIFTI ZETA pinch fusion reactors for the production of medical radioisotopes.
Potential problems for the production and deployment of ZETA pinch technology for medical radioisotope production include the following: First and foremost, the technology must be proven in a real-world commercial environment. Second, the management of these two companies must find sufficient private funding to bring a product to market. Third, while regulations could be an impediment, the MIFTI approach only uses tritium extracted from seawater. Without any uranium being involved, it should be easy enough to get regulatory approval.
U.S. Nuclear and MIFTEC believe that if everything goes according to their plan, they should have a working medical isotope machine producing commercial quantities within the next twenty-four months.
With the worsening of relations between the U.S. and Russia, the increasing hostility of North Korea and ongoing concerns about a possible nuclear weapons program in Iran, investment in anti-ballistic missiles systems to protect the U.S. has increased. The Ohio State Congressional delegation would like to see Ravenna, Ohio selected to be the host of battery of missiles to protect the East Coast.
Last week, the Pentagon announced that the U.S. Secretary of Defense and President Trump will make a decision about siting U.S. missile defenses in the Ballistic Missile Defense Review which may be released as soon as early March. The question being considered is whether or not the Trump Administration is willing to spend as much as three billion six hundred million dollars in the construction of a third site in the continental U.S. that could provide ballistic missile defense for cities on the U.S. East Coast. If the answer to that question is “yes”, then a new site could be selected by May of this year.
President Trump is apparently more interested in expanding U.S. ballistic missile defenses than President Obama was. He has requested almost ten billion dollars for missile defense in 2019. The continuing belligerent statements coming from North Korea regarding nuclear war and their testing of missiles that could hit the U.S. have supported his request.
Currently there are two sites that host anti-ballistic missiles in the U.S. One site is in Alaska at Fort Greely. There are forty interceptors stationed there because the greatest threat to the U.S. is across the Pacific Ocean. Vandenberg Air Force Base in California hosts four interceptors.
While it is still not known whether or not the U.S. will be investing in a third anti-ballistic missile base, there are three finalists sites for hosting one. Camp Ravenna Joint Military Training Center is the Ohio candidate. Fort Custer Training Center near Battle Creek, Michigan is a second candidate. And Fort Drum in New Your near Syracuse is the third candidate.
If it is decided that there should be a third anti-missile base, it would bring a couple of thousand constructions jobs and almost a thousand full time employees to the selected site. The Ohio Congressional delegation says that Ohio has the open space, the dedicated acreage, river and rail transport, construction experience and the workforce needed for such a site. They also point out that their site is close to the NASA Glenn Research Center and the National Air and Space Intelligence Center at Wright–Patterson Air Force Base where ballistic missile threats are assessed.
James McKeon of the Center for Arms Control and Non–Proliferation said that an East Coast anti-missile base would be used primarily to protect the U.S. East Coast from Iran but not North Korea. Intercontinental ballistic missiles would be fired north to cross over the Pole and then head south to hit a target. He said that the technology is not perfected and that even with optimal conditions for tests, missile interceptors only have about a fifty percent rate of hitting their targets. McKeon said that “The problem is there is no evidence thus far that this system is very effective. In fact, all the evidence suggests it cannot be relied upon to protect the United States homeland.”